Is the US back to normal mortality levels?

No! The 12 months ending, saw more excess than the first year of the pandemic!

Is the US back to normal mortality levels? - No, it's not, in fact the 12 months ending, saw more excess than the first year of the pandemic!

For the 12 months ending in June 2023, age standardized excess mortality is estimated at +9.7% 95%PI [5.8%, 13.6%]

Here are the absolute numbers:

On a monthly basis, the US is still seeing about ~5% excess mortality, mostly in some younger age groups!

Here's the midyear view by age group!

And here's the monthly view for the last 12 months by age group: