“20 million dead or 20 million saved” – a reprise of one of my articles from a year ago on 15 August 2022 – what does it look like now? Maybe double that number 40 million dead and 4 billion injuries
In the autumn of 2022 the Lancet published this article:
Amongst its findings was this:
“This estimate rose to 19·8 million (95% Crl 19·1-20·4) deaths from COVID-19 averted when we used excess deaths as an estimate of the true extent of the pandemic, representing a global reduction of 63% in total deaths (19·8 million of 31·4 million) during the first year of COVID-19 vaccination. In COVAX Advance Market Commitment countries, we estimated that 41% of excess mortality (7·4 million [95% Crl 6·8-7·7] of 17·9 million deaths) was averted.”
The piece had these Declarations of Interest:
“Declaration of interests ACG has received personal consultancy fees from HSBC, GlaxoSmithKline, and WHO related to COVID-19 epidemiology and from The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria for work unrelated to COVID-19.
ACG is a non-remunerated member of scientific advisory boards for Moderna and the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness. ABH and PW have received personal consultancy related to COVID-19 work from WHO. All other authors declare no competing interests.”
Well, that prompted an article from the Brownstone Institute on June 24h 2022 that ridiculed the 20 million number here:
Did Covid Vaccines Save Tens of Millions of Lives? ⋆ Brownstone Institute
It is a lengthy piece that is well worth a read. Suffice to say it references the funding and modelling by the same Imperial College that caused a global panic in the first place.
This Brownstone piece, in turn, prompted me to write one of my first SubStack articles on 15 August 2022 with some work on deaths and injuries from injections at the time of writing:
20 million saved or 20 million killed - by Peter Halligan (substack.com)
This piece took the actual reports of dead and injured from adverse reporting systems in the US and the EU (VAERS and EUDRA) scaled them first by an underreporting factor (URF) of 40 and then by 8 to reflect an approximation of EU+US doses administered relative to the global population. In other words, adverse events in the US+EU were multiplied by 320.
This attracted some ridicule from a few quarters, notably this one on 21 October 2022
The COVID-19 "vaccine holocaust" accelerates in antivax messaging - RESPECTFUL INSOLENCE
Which had repeated someone else’s question to ask “where are the bodies?” plus this ad hominem:
“Halligan’s criticisms of the study boil down to JAQing off, and I’m going to start with the most vile and brain dead of them, just to give you an idea:”
I note the acceptance of the JAQing off to the Imperial College modelling that was wrong by factors of 10-20 (1,000% to 2,000%) but each to their own.
Perhaps the authors can reference the chart here and analyse whether the bodies in the US were cremated or buried. There are around 1.6 million extra deaths for them to find for 2020, 2021 and 2022. The US population of 335 million is 4% of the world’s population.
We can be grateful the rest of the world did not follow the same faux logic as the “intelligentsia” running the US (and most of its “journalists” or perhaps the world would have seen 40 million EXTRA deaths, rather than the indicated 20 million from injections (which excludes those that would have been saved had IVM and HCQ protocols been used – i.e. 95% of 7 million C19 deaths since the C19 faux pandemic outbreak.
You can read all the other challenges in the piece. I was asked why I did not respond to which my reply was “it would be like talking to a eunuch In a harem”.
Anyway, as far as the 20 million saved comment went, Professor Norman Fenton further eviscerated it here on 27 November 2022, by showing how it was he that saved those 20 million lives by turning the fan on in his garden:
About those estimates of '20 million lives saved' by the vaccine .... (normanfenton.com)
Since that exchange on the number saved or killed by the injections, things have moved on.
Anecdotal reports from the EU (h/t momo) indicate that the URF there is closer to 70 than 40.
Adverse events of 4-5 times higher rates than the already toxic Pfizer/BioNTech mRNA injections in the EU and UK led to the withdrawal of the Oxford University/AstraZeneca injection made by Oxford Biomedica.
Denis Rancourt has provided an analysis of deaths in India over just four months in India
Denis has also demonstrated how there was no pandemic and that deaths and harms were the result of non-intervention from e.g. withholding of antibiotics that disproportionately affected the poor and minorities.
Here is my February 2023 discussion of the various ways to estimate the URF.
(100) Refresher on the Under Reporting Factor (URF) – The Giant Syringe in the Room (substack.com)
Denis also has stated that a reasonable estimate of the lethality of doses = 1 death per thousand doses – which if applied to the number of global doses of 13.5 billion doses results in 13.5 million dead.
For me, the one in a thousand dead from injections needs to be adjusted for the 4-5 times extra lethality of the Oxford/AstraZeneca injections and related to India, where over 2 billion doses were administered, the majority (80%) by the Serum Institute who manufactured the doses under license to AstraZeneca. In addition, AstraZeneca collaborated with Russia to develop its C19 viral vector injections.
What we have no idea of is the relative lethality of the Chinese “traditional” inactivated or other experimental vaccines. 3 billion doses in China with another huge question mark. One would have thought that Chinese would have been extremely vocal if its injections were safer and more effective!
Bottom line: I am comfortable repeating the calculation with a URF of 40, scaling US+EU deaths and injuries by 8 to globalize to the EU’s 980 million doses + US’ 670 million share of 13.5 billion global injections as a ball park estimate.
Latest report of EU deaths and injuries (March 2023) = around 50,000 dead and 5.3 million events
Latest report of US only deaths and injuries (8 Sep 2023 = around 18,000 dead and 1 million events
Total deaths 68,000 total events 6.3 million times 40 then times by 8 =
Twenty one million 760,000 dead and 2 billion events (which could be multiple events per million).
So, thankfully, there has “only” been an additional 1.76 million deaths as the entire planet has cleverly rejected the injections en masse in the last year.
How much uptake will there be of the new booster? Well given the track record of harms caused, unless people are confident that doses are manufactured to a higher standard and with more rigorous clinical trials, I suspect that the new knowledge that injections are 20-30 times more likely to cause a severe (life altering) reaction than the circulating strains of C19 will result in ZERO uptake, unless compelled by brutal dictators like those in Canada and in certain US institutions.
Right, so there’s a backdrop of past developments and “revelations”.
What about going forward? We can certainly be encouraged by the fall off in the rate of injections leading to a drop in deaths reported to adverse event reporting systems. The “vaccines” not only FAILED clinical trials and post authorization marketing reporting requirements, but data shows that one in nine deaths occur within 24 hours (not far off some gunshot deaths) but also abort 80% of first trimester pregnancies!
But this is not the whole story. There is the question of the progression of adverse events from minor (but bad enough to report to a system) to severe (life altering) to serious (life threatening) to dead.
Not only were the clinical trials aborted half way through their 6 month intended term, or that there was no attempt in the trial to highlight recoveries from either the placebo or injected group, but there has been no follow up on the progression or otherwise of “vaccine” injuries.
As a reminder, from here:
The COVID-19 Inoculations - More Harm Than Good FINAL Video & Print (canadiancovidcarealliance.org)
There is this table on page 11 (deaths were 20 in the injected group v 14 in the placebo on page 12):
Enquiring minds want to know how there could have been 1311 “related” adverse events in the placebo group, but no matter. This data is for the three months instead of six that the clinical trial ran.
There are around dix times the serious (life threatening) events as the 20 deaths (page 12) in the injected group, 13 times the number of severe (life altering) events as deaths and a whopping 262 times more adverse events as deaths of all kinds.
Now there is a need to adjust for the control (placebo) group, but given the short 3 month period on the blinded trial, the corruption of the trial (Brook Jackson evidence and that from Argentina).
What I am wondering is the migration down that table as the time from the last injection recedes. I am willing to bet that the combination of denial by medics (for self-preservation and bribes) of the cause of death, the failure to conduct autopsies at a frequency required to conclusively refute death as caused by injections (thousands needed not dozens) and this increasing temporal remoteness means that the URF is escalating rapidly.
This needs to be reconciled to the extra 560,000 deaths per annum for each of 2020, 2021 and importantly 2022 AND year to date for 2023.
There were around (supposedly) 150 million doses administered in 2022, yet deaths remained elevated at that 560,000 level – some C19, but far less at around 200,000 of that extra 560,000.
150 million doses out of 670 million doses cumulatively and an extra maybe 350,000 deaths for the 2022 year – how to split that out between causes? VAERS deaths for 2022 were, what? 6,000?
Simply “grossing” up that 6,000 number to the level required to explain the non-C19 level of extra deaths of 360,000 would result in the conclusion that 150 million doses caused those 360,000 extra deaths. Implying an injection fatality rate of one death per 417 doses!!!
This cannot be true, surely! So some of those deaths must have been due to the migration of severe events to serious events to deaths from 2021 to 2022. Thoughts welcome!
I consider that injection deaths have been ascribed to the other leading causes rather than to injection deaths.
This is significant because a) it represents a “bait and switch” from the practice of declaring every death by healer and democide being called “C19 death) and b) because it hides the real cause of death – the C19 injections.
I wonder if the same reporting methods for representing “C19 deaths” since 2020 in official numbers should have their equivalent as “injection deaths”.
The longer this does not happen, the more the actual causes of death will lead to false measures to address injuries from C19 mRNA injections as coincidental and not causal.
Suffice to say, it seems likely that the URF is increasing towards the same 100 estimated in the Lazarus Report all those years ago. Perhaps it is not so bad for deaths, maybe it is 60-80. This implies that deaths from injections in the US are not around 700,000 using a URF of 40, but closer to double that.
The same applies to the EU and the rest of the world.
So would I be surprised if, when the accurate history of these times is written, that the number of the dead In 2023 was close to 40 million – and rising in 2024 onwards?
No.
The same applies to injuries – 4 billion of them across the world – amongst those 5 billion injected – multiple per person.
What this implies is that the misguided efforts for pandemic preparedness and amendments to the international health regulation that will cost trillions desperately needs to be redirected to compensation for victims, detection of damage caused by injections and research into treatment protocols for the vaxx damaged.
Onwards!
Please buy a subscription or donate a coffee (I drink a lot of coffee) - “God Bless You!” if you can’t or don’t want to contribute. Coffee donations here: https://ko-fi.com/peterhalligan - an annual subscription of 100 bucks is one third less than a $3 coffee a week!
If the jabs are as effective and saving so many lives, why the need to be protected from lawsuits. We are witnessing the greatest gaslighting in the history of the world. The more gaslighting they do, the more I believe it is a culling by extremely evil people wanting to "save" mother earth from humanity.
Thank you Peter.
I agreed with Denis Rancourt. I ran a similar analysis in Feb2023 and got the same answer - 13 million Covid-19-vax-caused deaths in the Western world to end 2022 (100% independently, had not heard of Rancourt until later) I used Alberta total deaths as my sample, Rancourt et al used Australia and Israel total deaths. Our methodologies were almost identical. I extrapolated my data to end 2023 and got 19 million deaths in the Western world. I roughly doubled that death toll to 40 million to end 2023 to include China, India and Russia.
An important observation was that the Covid-19 virus was not deadly – there was NO increase in all-cause total deaths in Alberta to well past 1July2020. That means NO REAL PANDEMIC! Early treatment was the key. Rancourt also states : "NÖ real pandemic!
I warned everyone on 21Mar2020 about the Covid-19 Lockdown scam, in a post essentially identical to the Great Barrington Declaration, published 6 months later by world experts.
I wrote our governments in an open letter on 8Jan2021 to NOT deploy the experimental Covid-19 "vaccines" since the risk/reward ratio was far too high.
These were two of the earliest and most accurate Covid-19 warnings in world literature. Nobody listened.
As I wrote ~one years ago:
"I never thought it would be this difficult to stop people from harming and killing their own children".
MY observations should have saved millions; I might have actually saved a handful of people.
Best, Allan
Post script:
All these statements are documented in my new book:
MURDER OF MULTITUDES: Covid And Climate Chronicles - The Big Cull
Allan Malcolm MacRae on Amazon - $10 e-copy
https://a.co/d/ej52O9s