C19 Injection global death toll - somewhere between 9 million and 45 million. Injuries somewhere between 840 million and 4.2 billion (multiple injuries per person)
Time for Health Authorities to get out of their jobs or get on and publish their own (transparent) estimates!!!
Three months ago I posted an article challenging a piece published in the Lancet here:
20 million saved or 20 million killed - by Peter Halligan (substack.com)
My mortality numbers were based on scaling up the numbers of adverse events reported to VAERS and EUDRA by an Under Reporting Factor of 40 and then “globalizing” to reflect the one eighth share that EU+US injections were of global injections. Fast and dirty, back of the envelope, but cleaner than the article posted in Lancet!
The key comments to the article revolved around “not all C19 injections are mRNA, some are viral vector” and “not everyone in the world had been injected with any C!9 injection”. Fair calls.
Here is an extract of a comment from SubStacker Momo:
“As of September 30, VAERS has 14,605/12,644/63,837/288,246 deaths/life threatening events/hospitalisations/severe adverse events in the U.S. alone. There have been 608,922,775 jabs. So the rates per million jabs are 23.98/20.76/104.84/473.37.
As of October 1, EudraVigilance has 11,339/18,326/86,023/383,980 in the EU/EEA alone. There have been 844,565,893 jabs. Thus the rates per million jabs are 13.43/21.70/101.85/454.65.”
And this recommended way to report on German data:
"Based on data published by German government officials, an URF of 10 to 20 has to be applied to vaccines in general, whereas work by Rose/Crawford/Kirsch on VAERS has shown an URF of around 40 to be appropriate for the COVID jabs which in turn would yield an URF of around 70 for COVID jab deaths in Europe."
The post attracted some attention and received constructive comments plus a (fierce and rude) rebuttal referenced here – but with no alternative numbers for either the validity of VAERS and EUDRA data, the under reporting factor of 40 or the “globalization” assumption.
The COVID-19 "vaccine holocaust" accelerates in antivax messaging - RESPECTFUL INSOLENCE
So with that stated with “interest” or a “derisory sneer” and ad hominem attacks, what’s the update?
I have refined the data to reflect only those injected with C19 doses, but still adding the EUDRA + VAERS (US only) data together and “globalizing” to reflect EU+US injections as one seventh of doses globally (rather than one eighth).
With excellent timing, the team at vaccineimpact.com have managed to get an update on the number of deaths reported to EUDRA. It’s last update was with data to 30 Jaky 2022. This update takes data to a few weeks ago.
Here is the link to the article.
Here is the image of EUDRA summary data:
Here is the latest VAERS data:
I will post the links backing the analysis below in the comments to avoid more cluttering than usual.
Taking the US only data from VAERS and the EUDRA data, combining it with other data, we get this:
This is the base data. Now let’s apply different under reporting factors (URF). Note that the FDA/CDE and EMA are at pains to point out that just because someone died “spontaneously” or was reported to have died as a result of injections that does not mean that the injections were the cause of death. The FDA/CDC claim that anyone that died within 14 days of an injection did not die from the injection (around 90% of injection deaths reported occur within 14 days).
I have presented large URF’s that do not coincide exactly with the URF’s calculated with more precision by others, on the basis that tendencies are more important. Each of these URF’s is close to precise URFs calculated here:
Horowitz: CDC data shows VAERS is the tip of vaccine injury iceberg - Conservative Review
The Under Reporting Factor in VAERS - by Jessica Rose (substack.com)
The Lazarus Report – Decoding the Deception
Horowitz argues for 23, Rose et al for 41, VAERS analysis for 60 using V-Safe data for adverse events and the Lazarus report estimated 100 a decade or so ago.
Here are the fatalities and adverse events expressed in numbers per million doses.
Note that global doses are 8.1 times more than the combined EU+US doses, whereas the share of EU+US doses out of the 68.4% injected = one seventh.
So we have a range of estimates for deaths and injuries using an under-reporting factor and applying a “globalizing” ratio of 7 to the sum of EU + US deaths and events.
Somewhere between 9 million and 45 million deaths with somewhere between 850 million and 4.2 billion advents (multiple injuries per person). The people at Vaccine Impact estimated that half the adverse events reported on EUDRA are “serious” – meaning that life is disrupted sufficiently to prevent normal activities like working.
Now what about the fact that not all C19 injections were mRNA’s.
The Vaccine Impact team details a breakdown of EU injuries and deaths by manufacturer. This can be combined with EMA data of doses per manufacturer supplied to OurWorldinData.
This reveals the following “raw data” – unadjusted for any URF.
Other “vaccines” did not have much significance compared to these top 4 manufacturers.
Astra Zeneca and JnJ are both viral vector “vaccines”. Compared to Pfizer, they are 4-5 times more deadly than the already deadly Pfizer BioNTech mRNA injection. The same 4-5 times worse ratio applies to Astra Zeneca against Moderna and PfizerBioNTech for adverse events.
Maybe 50-60% of all C19 injections are mRNA and the balance viral vector – suffice to say, the lethality of viral vectors SIGNIFICANTLY EXCEEDS that of mRNA injections, using EUDRA data – implying that globalizing the “raw data” for deaths and adverse events is understated for any proportionately higher viral vector usage relative to mRNA injections in whichever countries favoured the use of viral vector injections. Where this has occurred, globalizing by a factor of 7 is too low.
The urgent task we are faced with is, firstly, to reconcile these estimates of deaths by lethal injection with excess deaths per country. This task should be completed using 2015-2019 mortality (and disease/condition data amongst the living) as a base to compare three distinct periods. The year without injections (2020), the year with partial injections (2021) and the first full year with “initial series” injections (2022).
Keep in mind that almost all “serious events” will migrate towards early (life years lost) death. These numbers do not reflect deaths and injuries caused by the collateral damage of lockdowns, masking, social distancing, missed diagnoses of organ diseases/conditions, suicides and so on and so forth.
Paid subscribers to the Economist can check out its latest estimates of global excess deaths here:
The pandemic’s true death toll | The Economist
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates
Access to the “free” part of the website comes up with a date of 25 October 2022, and no data.
A year ago in October 2021, the Economist estimated around 27 million global excess deaths – referenced here:
The Economist estimates up to 27 million excess deaths during the pandemic (substack.com)
A final note. UN subsidiaries like the WHO and IPCC are failing badly. Rather than “feeding the world” or “cleaning up the planet” they are focussed on injecting the planet with experimental toxins and pretending they can predict the climate decades into the future.
Globally, 9 million people die every year from starvation and 2.5 million die from pneumonia. These numbers will have increased markedly because of the “pandemic” response. This is a health matter.
Estimates are that just 5% of those reported to have died with C19 “present” actually ONLY had C19 present. This reduces the number of “ONLY C19 present” deaths to 330,000 from the 6.6 million reported globally after three years of the pandemic. US numbers are reduced from 1.1 million to 55,000.
I hypothesize that of the 1.1 million deaths with C19 present in the US, at least half were “collateral damage” from the use of Remdesivir, ventilators, missed treatments and diagnoses and so on. They were not C19 deaths, they were iatrogenic geronticides via democide. That is, the medical killing of the elderly on government instruction (think Cuomo in NY). The same applies in the UK but using Midazolam and morphine instead of Remdesivir. Eighty per cent of the remaining deaths could have been prevented with HCQ and IVM protocols that were banned by health authorities globally, for NO GOOD REASON, only the BAD REASON of blood money from C19 experimental injections.
The UN IPCC cannot even model past climate changes and actively engages in misrepresenting data to suit their fat budgets. My Gift To Climate Alarmists - YouTube
Imagine for a moment, if the trillions upon trillions that western governments squandered on the “pandemic” response were instead used to deliver food, clean water, education and basic health care to those in dire need. China lifted 600 million out of poverty with the money that the west BORROWED (the west has no money, it can only continue by borrowing money from central banks) to produce NO BENEFIT ONLY HARMS.
Keep in mind that adverse events from “vaccines” will require treatment with horribly expensive drugs made by - you guessed it - big pharma. The costs of treatment for those adverse events will run to tens if not hundreds of thousands of dollars a year, compared to the cost of under 50 bucks for the “initial course” of injections.
Back to the climate change scam that has, so far, quadrupled energy costs by subsidizing “renewable” energy and over-taxing or banning hydrocarbons.
Here is an image of the Pacific Garbage Patch that those involved in the climate change scam should be getting off their butts to fix.
As big as the USA and growing.
Great-Pacific-Garbage-Patch.jpg (1249×720) (wp.com)
https://i1.wp.com/thecostaricanews.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Great-Pacific-Garbage-Patch.jpg
Onwards!
Astute reasoning! And we are in Act III of the endless freak show. They will erase 50% sooner than later, and 50% of the left will be crippled if things go as up to date.
lazarus report link broken - use this
https://digital.ahrq.gov/sites/default/files/docs/publication/r18hs017045-lazarus-final-report-2011.pdf