There goes the Sun – what is NOT in any of the UN IPCC climate models - studies of solar activity point to a mini ice-age will occur in the next few decades – no global warming for almost 8 years
There goes the Sun – what is NOT in any of the UN IPCC climate models - studies of solar activity point to a mini ice-age will occur in the next few decades – no global warming for almost 8 years
All that rhetoric In the European Green Deal and the “Green New Deal” is not only based on faux Earth climate science, it also ignores by far the biggest influencer of the climate of the Earth – the Sun. For a bit of context, check this out for what has not been revealed by the chicken little sycophants in the MSM – who have a tiny Overton Window to peer out of.
It is amazing how hard it is to get the message re no global warming out. Of course the same people are proposing the same solutions as they did for Covid
The next glaciation may be right on our doorstep, or it may be 500 to 1500 years away. Being that the climate optimum was 8-9 thousand years ago means we have already used up the current interglacial and most do not realize we are smack in the middle of an ice age, which began over 2 million years ago.
In desperation to prove global warming wrong words like sheer folly will be used!
Carbon dioxide is also not a trace gas.
I don't know what's going to happen in the future, but there again, I am not being political either. One side against the other shouting propaganda at each other is quite funny. I just watch the Arctic Sea ice, which is a true signal of global conditions, and it appears its shrinking a little over the time it has been monitored.
Thank you, Peter. "There has been no rise in global temperatures from July 2015 to March 2023.”
HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series. McKitrick RR. Open Journal of Statistics, 2014, 4, 527-535. "The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so." ... "Here, I propose a method for estimating the duration of the hiatus that is robust to unknown forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC) in the temperature series and to cherry-picking of endpoints." ... "Application of the method shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 - 26 years in the lower troposphere. Use of a simple AR1 trend model suggests a shorter hiatus of 14 - 20 years but is likely unreliable."
Typically referred to as 'The Pause' once again global warming was falsified again as it was between 1940 - 1979 (when chicken-little scientivists squawked incipient ice age). Nb. The Pause was vigorously "denied" by the Mannian club and WaterMelons in the same breath as they endeavoured to expunge the inconvenient 'medieval warm period'. There is truly nothing new (other than a 4 Trojan Horsemen of the UNApocalypse - Climatism, Safeism, Healthism and Racism).
AN ESTIMATE OF THE CENTENNIAL VARIABILITY OF GLOBAL TEMPERATURES. Lloyd PJ. Energy & Environment · Vol. 26, No. 3, 2015. "The Holocene ice core records up to 8000 years before present were examined. The differences in temperatures between all records which are approximately a century apart were determined, after any trends in the data had been removed. The differences were close to normally distributed. The average standard deviation of temperature was 0.98 ± 0.27C." ie. Business as usual. (apart from chicken littles and those damned horses).
The Sun is indeed a major driver of climate change, largely ignored by the IPCC, but it looks like the predicted Grand Solar Minimum is not going to happen and the likely development of El Nino conditions in the central Pacific later this year will warm the planet and no doubt spark a renewed round of global warming hysteria from all the usual suspects.
Hi Igor - I nailed this way back in 2002, then in 2013, and then in Nov2022:
"This winter will be hell, especially in Britain and Germany." - MacRae, Nov2022.
Britain and Germany over-invested in near-useless Wind Power and made the heating of homes unaffordable. That energy shortage, along with the Covid-19 vaxx-caused deaths, contributed to this winter's carnage in those two countries. They were fortunate in that this winter was mild - it could have been much worse.
Politicians are energy imbeciles - keep them away from the hot stove.
This will not be easy to watch. I told you so 20 years ago.
This winter will be hell, especially in Britain and Germany.
PREDICTION OF THE CARNAGE THIS WINTER IN EUROPE
The cull of the elderly and poor
We published the important conclusions to this debate in 2002 and nothing has changed:
The alleged Climate Crisis is a fifty-year-old scam, and “green energy” is not green and does not produce much useful energy.
The Climate scammers have wasted trillions of dollars and millions of lives on fraud.
FOR THE RECORD, WE PUBLISHED IN 2002:
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
– by Sallie Baliunas (Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian), Tim Patterson (Paleoclimatologist, Carleton U), Allan MacRae (Professional Engineer, retired (Queen’s U, U of Alberta)
I PUBLISHED ON SEPTEMBER 1, 2002 in the Calgary Herald:
3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
I UPDATED MY GLOBAL COOLING PREDICTION IN 2013:
3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”
[Some say global cooling started in Feb2016, but I prefer Feb2020.]
AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA
British Undersecretary for Energy and Climate Change, 31Oct2013
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
It is amazing how hard it is to get the message re no global warming out. Of course the same people are proposing the same solutions as they did for Covid
Peter
Have you seen this re the Great Rising?
https://youtu.be/S7_-2AZxZJo
This needs in my view to be a global movement.
There are far more of us than them!
The next glaciation may be right on our doorstep, or it may be 500 to 1500 years away. Being that the climate optimum was 8-9 thousand years ago means we have already used up the current interglacial and most do not realize we are smack in the middle of an ice age, which began over 2 million years ago.
In desperation to prove global warming wrong words like sheer folly will be used!
Carbon dioxide is also not a trace gas.
I don't know what's going to happen in the future, but there again, I am not being political either. One side against the other shouting propaganda at each other is quite funny. I just watch the Arctic Sea ice, which is a true signal of global conditions, and it appears its shrinking a little over the time it has been monitored.
Thanks PH. Another excellent exposure of the inanity of the screeching fcukwittery doomsters.
Obviously just the right time to make it harder for us useless eaters to pay for oil und gas und heating in general.😥
Thank you, Peter. "There has been no rise in global temperatures from July 2015 to March 2023.”
HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series. McKitrick RR. Open Journal of Statistics, 2014, 4, 527-535. "The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so." ... "Here, I propose a method for estimating the duration of the hiatus that is robust to unknown forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC) in the temperature series and to cherry-picking of endpoints." ... "Application of the method shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 - 26 years in the lower troposphere. Use of a simple AR1 trend model suggests a shorter hiatus of 14 - 20 years but is likely unreliable."
Typically referred to as 'The Pause' once again global warming was falsified again as it was between 1940 - 1979 (when chicken-little scientivists squawked incipient ice age). Nb. The Pause was vigorously "denied" by the Mannian club and WaterMelons in the same breath as they endeavoured to expunge the inconvenient 'medieval warm period'. There is truly nothing new (other than a 4 Trojan Horsemen of the UNApocalypse - Climatism, Safeism, Healthism and Racism).
AN ESTIMATE OF THE CENTENNIAL VARIABILITY OF GLOBAL TEMPERATURES. Lloyd PJ. Energy & Environment · Vol. 26, No. 3, 2015. "The Holocene ice core records up to 8000 years before present were examined. The differences in temperatures between all records which are approximately a century apart were determined, after any trends in the data had been removed. The differences were close to normally distributed. The average standard deviation of temperature was 0.98 ± 0.27C." ie. Business as usual. (apart from chicken littles and those damned horses).
Looks like sun-spot counter Prof. Valentina Zharkova was spot on.
The Sun is indeed a major driver of climate change, largely ignored by the IPCC, but it looks like the predicted Grand Solar Minimum is not going to happen and the likely development of El Nino conditions in the central Pacific later this year will warm the planet and no doubt spark a renewed round of global warming hysteria from all the usual suspects.
https://jaimejessop.substack.com/p/grand-solar-minimum-delayed-or-cancelled
Hi Peter - published recently:
EXCESS DEATHS BACK WITH A VENGEANCE IN THE UK AND GERMANY (SUBSTACK.COM)
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/excess-deaths-back-with-a-vengeance/comment/14821059
Hi Igor - I nailed this way back in 2002, then in 2013, and then in Nov2022:
"This winter will be hell, especially in Britain and Germany." - MacRae, Nov2022.
Britain and Germany over-invested in near-useless Wind Power and made the heating of homes unaffordable. That energy shortage, along with the Covid-19 vaxx-caused deaths, contributed to this winter's carnage in those two countries. They were fortunate in that this winter was mild - it could have been much worse.
Politicians are energy imbeciles - keep them away from the hot stove.
I posted the following prediction in Nov2022:
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2022-11-29-dont-be-so-sure-that-the-climate-extremists-have-won
This will not be easy to watch. I told you so 20 years ago.
This winter will be hell, especially in Britain and Germany.
PREDICTION OF THE CARNAGE THIS WINTER IN EUROPE
The cull of the elderly and poor
We published the important conclusions to this debate in 2002 and nothing has changed:
The alleged Climate Crisis is a fifty-year-old scam, and “green energy” is not green and does not produce much useful energy.
The Climate scammers have wasted trillions of dollars and millions of lives on fraud.
FOR THE RECORD, WE PUBLISHED IN 2002:
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
– by Sallie Baliunas (Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian), Tim Patterson (Paleoclimatologist, Carleton U), Allan MacRae (Professional Engineer, retired (Queen’s U, U of Alberta)
I PUBLISHED ON SEPTEMBER 1, 2002 in the Calgary Herald:
3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
I UPDATED MY GLOBAL COOLING PREDICTION IN 2013:
3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”
[Some say global cooling started in Feb2016, but I prefer Feb2020.]
AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA
British Undersecretary for Energy and Climate Change, 31Oct2013
By Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc.(Eng.), M.Eng.
[excerpt]
So here is my real concern:
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
See CorrectPredictions.ca and my papers listed therein for proof.
Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., Calgary
https://energy-experts-international.com/